Any idea how long we should expect it should take them to get across say Kansas? The route swings just north of Cincy and I want to be out on the roadside screaming my fool head off as they go by. Trying to gauge when they will Cruz through western Ohio.
There is a printed TS estimate for the different types of participants (solo male, solo female, 2-person, 4-person, 8-person) with first in and last in based on historical averages.
There is also a semi-live estimate on the RAAM website. Go to
http://www.raceacrossamerica.org/results.html then select #T403 - Cruzbike races 3000 Miles to a Cure in the middle top drop down selector for status, or the middle bottom drop down selector for TS estimates.
If you start with the status report you'll see the arrival times and stats for the time stations the team has achieved so far. Under Jim's photo is a link called TimeStation Estimates which will display whatever algorithm they have set up for their estimate for the remaining TS arrivals. Or you can use the middle drop down to select #T403. Get it? Top middle select #t403 for race status, bottom middle drop down to select #T403 for TS Estimates. Kind of weird UI flow but it works.
The printed estimate for TS arrivals is here:
http://www.raceacrossamerica.org/userfiles/file/2017/RAAM2017 estimated TS arrivals (final).pdf
That one shows first 4-person racers arriving as follows (see the PDF for more TS estimates but these are some that are sort of close to you Abbott):
- TS 42: Blanchester, OH - FIRST: 6/22 03:16; LAST: 6/22 03:16
- TS 43: Chillicothe, OH - FIRST: 6/22 05:48; LAST: 6/25 00:25
- TS 44: Athens, OH - FIRST: 6/22 08:21; LAST: 6/25 04:45
The "live" estimate (as of this post) is showing the following but I don't think it has picked up on the drammatic increase in average speed from the last 5 time station transitions.
- TS 42: Blanchester, OH - #T403 estimated arrival: 06/22/2017 23:12
- TS 43: Chillicothe, OH - #T403 estimated arrival: 06/23/2017 2:11
- TS 44: Athens, OH - #T403 estimated arrival: 06/23/2017 5:13
I'm trying to track actuals against the estimates in the PDF via a spreadsheet. At the moment the team recently arrived at TS 25: 6/20/2017 20:37 and the PDF prediction was 6/20/2017 8:29 which is 12 hours and 8 minutes behind the predicted first 4-member team. They seem to me moving up faster than the "live" predictions for now so that margin could get smaller. The "live" predictions fall off from view as actuals are input but I think the live prediction for TS25 was something like an hour later but I forgot to capture it.
EDIT: I've captured the current arrival estimates for TS26 thru TS55 so I can see if they update/change as the team progresses east.
EDIT 2: OK, confirming the "running" ETA does update as actuals come in. So now that #T403 has passed TS26, the running ETA for TS 44 is now 06/24/2017 4:21
EDIT 3: After some serious kerchugging by Team Cruzbike overnight, the running ETA for TS 44 is now 06/23/2017 3:09
-Eric